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20121201
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looking for a job myself. cheryl: construction, there was a loss of 20,000. most of us expected a little bit of a game and that ector. >> maybe it will take a little bit longer to give up. my brother is still out of his house. they cannot get anyone to do work on it yet. cheryl: let's go over to the cme. i know that metals has been a big focus for a lot of traders today. what are you watching? >> just the price action in gold. it really gives the feedback. people, you know, maybe a risk on trade. it jumps back to the 17th 04 daily highs. that makes me believe i want to belong before the meeting and at the end of the year where we can hit that 1750 range. cheryl: very interesting. let's head over to the imax. i want to talk about a move that we are seeing in oil. it looks like some bearish signs for oil, in particular, when it comes to terms of supply. >> i think we get to 85 and then rebounds and get back up to the 88-89 level. the fiscal cliff talks not going anywhere yet. during the next two weeks we will start to see some positive remarks. one thing that is very interesting, heat and
shillman who have several billion shares on this. thank you for joining us. what are you to this decision? >> well, liz, first of all, thank you for having me on the show. the actions we took yesterday, we accelerated the dividend for q4 of 2012, which would normally hhve been paid some time of march and at the same time, we decided it was a good time and i will tell you again why, because of tax elections that we accelerated or prepaid eight set the dividend that would have been due for all of 2013 and 2014. we prepaid to q4 of 2012. we estimate that those other eight dividends that would be due in 2012, 2013, 2014 would be about a dollar. we will prepaid this year. the motivation for that was very clear. we have always believed in sharing our success with our shareholders. we have been giving dividends since 2003. liz: let's explain what you do for people that do not know. you make our code readers, you have vision sensors. you are pushing forward about $4300 to shareholders. do you worry, bob, that there is a deal that has eventually struck before december 301 and that you are stuck fo
news out of china over the night. hitting a seven month high, but then the u.s. isf number hit at 10:00 a.m. eastern and a wave of selling. manufacturing activity contracted in november. they say the factory index came in at 49.5 in november. down from almost 52 and october. keep in mind, any number below 50 means contraction. above 50 equals expansion. investors are still worried about tax treatment and dead deals. exelon, the worst of the bunch our first guest has seen it all. the u.s. economy they fall into a recession next year even if congress strikes a budget deal by year end. joining us from stanford, california, martin feldstein. thank you for being with us. the republicans now responding. negotiations well underway to avoid a fiscal cliff. to your point, you recently said, even if we reach a deal, the economy is still at series risk of a recession. >> that is right. we are looking at and economy that is very weak. growth was very disappointed. less than 2% real gdp growth in 2012. we will be struggling to achieve that next year, even without hitting the economy with more fis
us to you have, what you're talking about, what you were hearing. >> this is the framework of the deal they're discussing right now. as just detailed, the automatic spending cuts, that is the outstanding issue. this is what they locked up. end, rates of $400,000 per year, 450,000 tamales and from tax increases. as for capital gains and dividends, they stay the same. the alternative minimum tax, the state tax rose to 40 percent with a $5 million exemption. another one-year extension of long-term unemployment benefits. right now the issue is those spending cuts, the automatic spending cuts, the $94 billion known as the sequestered. but that we bring in a republican congressman from new jersey. thank you for joining us. the framework adjusted tailed, do you think it's something you could get behind? >> the president has repeatedly famously said that we can cut our way to prosperity and, of course, the flip side of that is even more true which is that we cannot tax our way to prosperity although mcconnell said that the tax portion is already worked out and agree upon, if you th
, no kidding. cme, gary, i wanted to talk gold with you. well, first off, we saw the u.s. dollar hit had a two year high against the japanese yen appearing the japanese are printing money, but gold is stuck in a range right now. why is that? >> well, normally, in a time like this, you see it be the flight to safety. ashley: yeah. >> we're seeing the euro dollar. everybody's going there because there's no negative news. hang on to your hats for the gold. i believe we'll see it getting to 1680 week's end and tach that 1700 mark. again, everybody's worried about the two letters, "fc," fiscal cliff, and pulling from the u.s. dollar, the yen is pulling back, the new regem that's in there, they are doing what they need to do, and nobody's going to gold right now. silver is sneaking up slowly, above the $30 range. we'll see that take off. reason for that is we look at china. china's economy is turning the corner. that's also helping with what you folks talked about earlier in the crude oil. see how it plays out. even though it's a light volume week as far as trading -- ashley: still, though, a downwa
. of course, we know this is a difficult transition. please work with us. we will continue forth until the president takes the airways, but we have to focus on apple. what went wrong in apple in china. where are they huge crowds of people tripping over themselves to get the new iphone five? after all, 300,000 reorders. 300,000. it sounds like a lot, but there are some are calling this launch this news, even a dad. will this further erode the stock which has plummeted 28% since that september? we decided to go beyond this. of the chinese over it? some months, the apple turnout, not at all what it was cracked up to be. investors are voting with their wallets. apple shares are down. just a couple of percentage points. important to know this is trading in a nine month low. add another 4 percent today, the negative comments adding to the selling pressure. the firm cutting its 2013 estimates and lowering its price target. we know that maybe the huge ones are not so huge in china because apple instituted an online reservation system. folks, let's not ignore it. the allies did not even come cl
tanked. the senate majority leader said nothing is happening in budget talks and looks like the u.s. is heading for the so-called fiscal cliff. he compared it to the ball dropping on new year's eve dropping on times square more ominously. more from the nation's capitol. in terms of industry groups and what is not working we start with financials. they're the biggest drag. money center banks like bank of america down 1 1/4%. goldman down 1%. morgan stanley down .8 of a percent. all those stocks are under pressure. tech stocks notably weak. apple inching to the round 500 dollar level. down to 510. it was north of 700 when iphone 5 came out early september. so the bear market continues to apple. as you can see, google also down, down about five bucks on the day. ibm down slightly a .10 or two. hewlett-packard off today, down one 3/4%. coming up later we have a contrarian investors sees big opportunity for hp in 2013. he nailed down the move in bank of america this year. he said it was the stock to buy. he was right. stick around for what he has to say about hewlett-packard. interesting
precipitously. the u.s. dollar, now a dollar 302 by the euro. six months ago. this was more like a dollar 25. deming, the dollar has done really week of the last rebel days, has it not? >> i am really shocked at the euro is doing as well as it is. somewhere down the line there will have to ease. it has been doing this as the whole time. has a lot to do with the fed meeting last week. the special -- perpetual qe and is not doing anything to help the ballot right now. liz: in the end you do want a strong dollar. i know some big multinational space to the u.s. that not only won a weak dollar to make our products cheaper, but i'll talk to carlos about this in a minute. let me get to that nymex. obviously whale is an interesting play, but i you guys talking a lot about this gold price behavior? this is really weird. >> well, it is tied in w dollar. so many people leading the same way. all the sudden you start to see it. stocks got hit and people start to panic. you basically have people that look in to say, you know, this dollar is going to get smacked. the reverse my position. liz: speaking of s
out of d.c.? >> speaker john boehner woke us up. i expected after the brief statement that he made the market would come in much more than it has. i am kind of impressed we haven't seen the market down quite significantly. it means we will look at a nice year-end rally. liz: all w he did was speak 45 seconds. we are coming off of two days of double-digit jumps in the dow jones industrial in the rearview mirror. but let me quickly ask you, volatility of about six or 7% depending on what second you're looking at it when a day for most of it the market was meandering. >> remember where we are at. coming at the end of the year, a lot of traders have hung up their books, does not take much to move the market one way or another. i do agree, this market is a santa claus rally. the market saying fiscal cliff, so what. more income means spending cuts and the politicians will eventually get it together. playing poker with each other, john boehner hurt the market when he said the market will take a nosedive tomorrow. this will go back and forth and every day do we have a settlement, don't we?
us there clearly has to be a deal on the fiscal cliff. i am not sure there are lots of folks i talk to who are believers. a lot of people continue to sit on the sidelines and watching the market work higher and are getting a little bit uncomfortable which were not so far on the sidelines. that is what makes the market. liz: i don't know if he does yos talk a lot about operation twist or seen the expiration of that, that is coming to the end. today you have some energy complex moving higher. natural gas not so much, but how closely tied our prices of natural gas and gasoline into what happened as far as a fiscal cliff is concerned in how people feel about the discretionary income they have an in the monen their wallets? >> the fiscal cliff stuff, i am on the sidelines. we are in a range. if you look at the volatility, we are at the lowest points of the year right here. has not been this year since last year. but 21%. that tells the a lot of people are on the sidelines. look at the range we have been in. everybody got excited. nobody got excited about calls. you have to look at the vo
exchange in the u.s. 200 years of independence. charlie gasparino taking us through the day. when you got the first call yesterday and broke the story, what did you hear? charlie: the journal had a first headline, i heard something about this. i do not confirm the first interview but they had headlines of the merger. i was hearing it was a full out acquisition, the new york stock exchange getting bought by the intercontinental exchange and that blew me away. it is an amazing story. we fight for seconds here. going on the air, basically saying at the new york stock exchange about the taken over, this is not a merger of equalss, this is a takeover of the most venerable, one of the most venerable institutions in american finance, the new york stock exchange. it is been there since the old button agreement. [talking over each other] charlie: that is why they call it -- they became essentially a club of freighters under that and expanded to much bigger than a tree, beautiful headquarters, but here is the thing. when i started to digest it it was a phenomenal story. the intercontinental exchang
raising taxes. they want us to deal with this irresponsible way. liz: and that killed us. that was it for the market. i am liz claman it is the last hour of trading. "countdown to the closing bell" begins right now. the stocks are falling for the first time in seven days after the house speaker said it is all coming down to spending cuts. with just 18 days left for congress to make a deal, investors are taking speaker boehner's words to heart. dow jones industrials off of the session down 82-point but you can see the bull's have the edge early on. blue chips posting modest gains around 11:30 a.m. eastern the speaker got up front of the cameras and suddenly vanished, the rest was history. one name defined the laws of gravity. solar city, soaring up 1.5% today. this after a price cut and a one-day delay. they completed the ipo selling more than 11 million shares at $8 a pop. half of the expected range. we have both the chairman and ceo, actually cousins, coming up in the next hour. what they have to say. they did not put it off, you can see the big move. zero plate to quali
for joining us for the floor show. i am going to ask santa for some gold as well. hopefully washington is asking santa for a fiscal cliff feel. both sides come back to work on thursday. peter barnes is in washington. how likely that we get a deal done? peter: the speaker and the president have not spoken since friday. right now, all eyes are on the senate. the president proposed a limited patch that would a void the cliff after speaker boehner scuffled his plan be. staff discussions continue between the administration and the hill. we have not heard of any breakthroughs at this point. democrats extended tax breaks for families taking under $250,000. that would cost $157. it also approved taxing $92 billion. mitch mcconnell is critical to hammer out a deal in the senate because he can filibuster anything. his spokesman said "nothing new to report. we do not know yet what senator reed plans to bring to the senate for a vote." >> if you want leaders, then, you have to lead. the president has been a pathetic leader. i would vote for revenues, including tax rate hikes even though i do not l
especially with the economic data we got today leading to unemployment tomorrow. liz: what about those of us with day jobs? other than sitting in front of our tv ameritrade or who knows what account making our trade and especially when you see today the ten year yield in treasurys came down once again which makes me believe at certain points, treasury trade and a few trades coming in a matter what. >> it is defense. treasury will come down. they are treading water here which is a positive but volumes are down. volume is slightly over and the treasuuy auctions, the fed is going to announce some kind of treasury buying program to stimulate the economy and keep rates low and that will favor stocks so stocks will take care of what is going on in the treasury market. liz: cap it with the hurricanes and the effect which a reverse from negative to positive at some point. >> you saw jobless claims are up but sandy will handicap it a bit. we will won't see a clean job number until next year. once again it will be at my number and will be waiting for the fed. >> oil coming downn it is simply a story o
suggesting that they continue to use the 85 billion number. i do not know if they can justify that quite frankly when you have the economic data that we continue to see. you mentioned china coming in, the increase in electric production which is a great sign meaning that the economy is picking up. there was a big fear that mcdonald's and the american consumer would step away. i have a hard time believing that the said will be able to go on their way and actually put something in place that will say we need to continue this. liz: mcdonald's is proving the naysayers wrong. all three parts of their business looking very healthy. it is not exactly dependable when it comes to any company. we are looking at a market that is in the narrowest trading sent october. >> take a look at some of these stocks. let's start with lockheed martin. you have a defense that you have a bleeding defense sector stock. that will obviously be impacted greatly depending on what happens. if you look at lockheed martin over the last six-eight weeks, it really has held its own. it is trading in a fairly narrow range.
worries, what we have been watching closely is the housing market. we are convinced that u.s. housing has bottomed. on five years of inventory, that has been worked out. mortgage rates are so low. that helps consumer sentiment so much. we are very positive on the market and, if in the next few days, next few days, there is a correction because a compromise is not met, and, i promise you, no one will like the compromise. liz: does that mean it is successful if everyone is a little unhappy? >> exactly. exactly. liz: if you are going all out assertive, what are you buying? >> we are buying a lot of companies. our portfolios have about 60 to 70 stocks in them. liz: are you up for the year back yes. definitely. definitely. we are around 13%. liz: what is your favorite investment right now? what do you like right now? >> the best way to stay fully invested is to have a good hedge from high quality bonds. barry, ironically, we are still buying bonds as well. muniz, yes, in most cases. tax-free in a simple security. you can very easily by high-quality single-a, aa or higher that have lots of good
stuff, gentlemen, thank you for joining us on the floor show. the dow down, in the range, president meeting with leaders as we speak, we believe, at the white hoose. we'll see what may or may not come from that. the fiscal cliff, which companies get hurt the most if we go right over that cliff? elizabeth ma cdonald is here with the bottom line. what are we looking at for bad news for what companies? >> walmart hand capped this and have their score card. a number of companies will, you know, dive over the fiscal cliff, and i'm tired of the "fiscal cliff" term, pardon me, it's a manmade term, the fc, whatever happens january 1st. here's why they get sales from government contracts. that's the deal. it's not just the lockheed martins of the world. you'll see in here, humana, other health care companies, of course, medical device companies hit with the tax, but they have striker, for example, and there's a lot of sales from government contracts. you'll see in here, look at that, motorola, holdings in and waste management companies like waste management and republic services, ashley. ash
something the financial press and the rest of us don't see because they hang in here. i don't understand it. we should be trading below, just like gold is puzzling. liz: interesting point. is puzzling, when you look at the intraday chart whether it is the dow or the and the crossing the flat line over and over why are the moves so shallow to the upside or downside. a couple points up and down and no real conviction on either side. does that happen next week? >> we are solidly in consolidation. markets and trying to make a decision but we have 4% rally from recent low so as far as the cliff is concerned i believe the market expects that it will be solved and there is not going to be an issue going forward and all we have now is a bunch of political posturing by john boehner and barack obama with the press. as we look at the market the market is holding up relatively well after a 4% rally and if you think of that we are still on the year and the market continues to go higher so i don't see any reason to believe there's not a deal in place. liz: is the fear of missing the rally now almost equa
back and update us. we have breaking news on motorola. if you throw the letter x in front of everyone, everyone gets glittery eyed. a new phone called the x phone. no real details on this. google owns a lot of patents. google stock down 1%, but motorola working on a new iphone and samsung galaxy s-3 it is internally known as though x phone. tortorella has run into some obstacles, but there you are. we have run into gyrations today. stock options, equity options, let's take it to the traders that have been dealing with is that the new york stock exchange cme group. john cortina, what was it like last night? how closely we want to mess with the stock futures dropping precipitously. it's not as bad as it could've been, is that right? >> yes, it's amazing what twitter can provide for you for information. i was at my child's recital and might twitter feed was going on. clearly, we saw a lot about last what happens overnight is that there's not a lot of volume or liquidity. you're going to see that shipped. the volatility in the market. especially that we saw with the s&p. if things like th
temporarily, the financial crisis may have reduced somewhat the underlying potential growth rate of the u.s. economy. it has interfered with business creation, investment, technological advances and so on. that can account for part of the growth. at the same time, what monetary policy influences is not potential growth, not the underlying sexual -- many different kinds of policies affect that. what monetary policy affects primarily is the state of the business cycle, the amount of excess unemployment or the extent of recession in the economy. there i think we have also perhaps underestimated a bit the recession, but we have been much closer ritter and i think therefore that we have been able to address that somewhat more effectively with quite accommodative policies. that being said, we have over time as we have seen disappointment in growth and job creation we have obviously as we did in september added accommodation and we have continued to reassess the outlook. it is only fair to say economic forecast beyond a few quarters is very difficult. what we are trying to do is create a plausible
Search Results 0 to 19 of about 20